The Transforming Episode Accountability Model (TEAM), Medicare’s new mandatory bundled payment model, began in January 2026 and will run through December 2030. Under TEAM, more than 700 acute care hospitals in 188 markets are required to assume financial risk for five surgical episodes from admission to 30 days post-discharge. These covered episodes include:
Hospital target prices are based on average risk-adjusted spending per episode in each of the nine US census divisions during a 3-year baseline period, with an adjustment for quality. One early analysis showed that up to two-thirds of hospitals could lose an average of $1,350 in revenue per case based on 2023 Medicare claims.* Succeeding in bundled payment requires actively managing the continuum of care to increase efficiency and avoid costly emergency visits and complications.
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TEAM target prices incorporate a discount factor intended to ensure that the model saves money for the federal government. Early analysis from the IAC indicates that the way TEAM target prices are structured will likely result in significant revenue loss for some hospitals if they fail to take appropriate action to prepare, especially once the model is fully implemented with greater bidirectional risk. While most cases will fall below the target price, the cost of outlier cases that exceed the target is projected to outweigh these savings leading to losses for up to two-thirds of hospitals.
In Figure 1, the map displays all TEAM hospitals selected for the model, with their average revenue impact per qualifying episode (gain = green or loss = red/orange), based on 2023 Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) data. Bubble size corresponds with 2023 case count. Hospitals in gray (N/A) have fewer than 100 qualifying cases in 2023.
Figure 1. Average Revenue Impact per Episode In TEAM Hospitals - 2023
Table 1 looks at individual FFS cases from hospitals selected for TEAM using Medicare data from 2023. Here we see case count by TEAM episode category and a breakdown in case count and average financial impact by revenue “winners” and “losers.” As shown in the table, there are more winners than losers, but the losers lose more on average. In other words, this model promotes large volumes of small wins paid for by a small volume of large losses. Note that these calculations include the CMS discount rates, but not the stop-gain/stop-loss caps, since this is not at the hospital level.
Financial Impact of TEAM (2023) |
Gain |
Loss |
|||
|
TEAM Surgical Episode |
Total Cases |
# Cases |
Average Gain/Case |
# Cases |
Average Loss/Case |
|
Lower Joint Replacement (LEJR) |
118,155 |
74,626 |
$2,637 |
43,529 |
($6,133) |
|
Spinal Fusion |
30,689 |
18,317 |
$7,833 |
12,372 |
($14,188) |
|
Hip & Femur Procedures (SHFFT) |
25,427 |
13,281 |
$7,970 |
12,146 |
($10,046) |
|
Major Bowel Procedure |
19,723 |
13,282 |
$6,092 |
6,441 |
($13,726) |
|
Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) |
10,020 |
6,580 |
$6,927 |
3,440 |
($15,142) |
|
Total |
204,014 |
126,086 |
77,928 |
||
Financial Impact of TEAM (2023) |
Gain |
Loss |
|||
|
TEAM Surgical Episode |
Total Cases |
# Cases |
Average Gain/Case |
# Cases |
Average Loss/Case |
|
Lower Joint Replacement (LEJR) |
118,155 |
74,626 |
$2,637 |
43,529 |
($6,133) |
|
Spinal Fusion |
30,689 |
18,317 |
$7,833 |
12,372 |
($14,188) |
|
Hip & Femur Procedures (SHFFT) |
25,427 |
13,281 |
$7,970 |
12,146 |
($10,046) |
|
Major Bowel Procedure |
19,723 |
13,282 |
$6,092 |
6,441 |
($13,726) |
|
Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) |
10,020 |
6,580 |
$6,927 |
3,440 |
($15,142) |
|
Total |
204,014 |
126,086 |
77,928 |
||
Figure 2 looks at the financial impact at the hospital level - of the selected hospitals with at least 300 qualifying Medicare FFS cases in 2023, one-third would earn revenue while two-thirds would lose revenue under the TEAM model, given current spending. This graph shows the distribution of the average financial impact per case, with some hospitals earning as much as $3,000 and others losing over $5,500 in revenue per qualifying episode.**
Table 2 summarizes the largest markets selected for TEAM participation, based on the volume of qualifying Medicare FFS cases in 2023 (i.e., all 5 episode categories in the model). These 20 markets account for over two-thirds of 2023 cases across the 188 TEAM regions. The full list of selected facilities can be accessed on the CMS TEAM website.
Metro Area |
State |
Hospitals |
Cases |
|
New York |
NY |
97 |
40,669 |
|
Boston |
MA |
34 |
17,139 |
|
Washington |
DC |
22 |
9,083 |
|
San Francisco |
CA |
28 |
7,755 |
|
Nashville |
TN |
16 |
7,523 |
|
Minneapolis |
MN |
21 |
5,955 |
|
Jacksonville |
FL |
12 |
5,761 |
|
Denver |
CO |
20 |
5,712 |
|
San Diego |
CA |
14 |
5,216 |
|
Tulsa |
OK |
12 |
3,735 |
|
Riverside |
CA |
23 |
3,698 |
|
Providence |
RI |
13 |
3,520 |
|
Raleigh |
NC |
5 |
3,356 |
|
Portland |
OR |
17 |
3,279 |
|
Tucson |
AZ |
8 |
2,950 |
|
Greenville |
SC |
6 |
2,887 |
|
Memphis |
TN |
6 |
2,863 |
|
San Jose |
CA |
6 |
2,816 |
|
Huntsville |
AL |
3 |
2,562 |
|
Harrisburg |
PA |
5 |
2,129 |
|
Total |
368 |
138,608 |
Metro Area |
State |
Hospitals |
Cases |
|
New York |
NY |
97 |
40,669 |
|
Boston |
MA |
34 |
17,139 |
|
Washington |
DC |
22 |
9,083 |
|
San Francisco |
CA |
28 |
7,755 |
|
Nashville |
TN |
16 |
7,523 |
|
Minneapolis |
MN |
21 |
5,955 |
|
Jacksonville |
FL |
12 |
5,761 |
|
Denver |
CO |
20 |
5,712 |
|
San Diego |
CA |
14 |
5,216 |
|
Tulsa |
OK |
12 |
3,735 |
|
Riverside |
CA |
23 |
3,698 |
|
Providence |
RI |
13 |
3,520 |
|
Raleigh |
NC |
5 |
3,356 |
|
Portland |
OR |
17 |
3,279 |
|
Tucson |
AZ |
8 |
2,950 |
|
Greenville |
SC |
6 |
2,887 |
|
Memphis |
TN |
6 |
2,863 |
|
San Jose |
CA |
6 |
2,816 |
|
Huntsville |
AL |
3 |
2,562 |
|
Harrisburg |
PA |
5 |
2,129 |
|
Total |
368 |
138,608 |
*Based on Institute for Accountable Care analysis of 2021–2023 Traditional Medicare claims data. Target prices calculated with 2021–2023 Medicare claims data by census division and trended, wage-adjusted, and risk-adjusted for all qualifying US hospitals with at least 11 TEAM episodes in 2023 using specifications from the final 2025 IPPS rule.
**Kipley S, Pollitt K. GSV implementation improves rate of patients discharged home after surgery. Bulletin of the American College of Surgeons. Published February 2025. Accessed May 21, 2026. https://www.facs.org/for-medical-professionals/news-publications/news-and-articles/bulletin/2025/february-2025-volume-110-issue-2/gsv-implementation-improves-rate-of-patients-discharged-home-after-surgery/
***These calculations also account for stop-gain/stop-loss caps, assuming safety net/rural hospitals will be in Track 2, while all others will be in Track 3.